Remodeling slows ahead of ‘historic boom’ to come

Remodeling slows ahead of ‘historic boom’ to come

People hunting to remodel their household are pulling back, but improved times are forward for the industry.

“Reworking is slowing, but there’s a historic growth coming,” Eric Finnigan, VP of study & demographics at John Burns Actual Estate Consulting, told Yahoo Finance in an interview.

According to Finnigan, there are 3 aspects most likely to enable this sector in the coming yrs.

First, there is certainly an expectation that the residential transforming current market will have 24 million households in have to have of repairs or updates to roofs, flooring, heating and cooling technique, kitchens, bogs, and extra.

“[These homes are] basically going to go by means of a total kind of facelift,” Finnigan stated. A home enters its “key modeling yrs” when it reaches about 20-40 several years old.

“We’re observing a large wave of residences entering that cohort, [those] kind of key reworking a long time,” Finnigan reported.

2nd, a few-quarters of house loan debtors are locked in with house loan rates at 4{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} or lower, and will very likely keep set for as very long as probable. But these residences will also want an up grade, Finnigan said.

And lastly, property owner equity is at report degrees, offering homeowners the suggests to spend for renovations jobs now or in the long run.

Kate and Cameron Reinhart stand in their 1880's Octagon house they are renovating during the coronavirus pandemic, in Norwich, eastern Connecticut, U.S., January 14, 2021. Picture taken January 14, 2021. REUTERS/Dan Fastenberg

Kate and Cameron Reinhart stand in their 1880’s Octagon home they renovated through the coronavirus pandemic, in Norwich, jap Connecticut, U.S., January 14, 2021. Photograph taken January 14, 2021. REUTERS/Dan Fastenberg

Home enhancement slowdown

Even though anticipations for remodeling in the upcoming may possibly be large, current dynamics in the sector have found these projects set aside in modern months.

On Tuesday, Household Depot (High definition) warned in its most up-to-date earnings report the enterprise expects need for property enhancement to “average.”

“In the 3rd quarter, we famous some deceleration in selected products and solutions and types, which was more pronounced in the fourth quarter,” House Depot CEO Ted Decker explained to analysts on the company’s earnings meeting phone on Tuesday.

Similar gross sales in the U.S. fell .3{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} for Property Depot in Q4, missing expectations for a .3{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} obtain, according to estimates from Bloomberg.

Dwelling renovations, notably Do it yourself assignments, boomed in the course of the pandemic as quite a few People in america had been stuck at household hoping to tackle eyesores in their properties. But need for those Do it yourself initiatives have been plagued by elevated inflation and a shift in shopper behaviors.

“The quantity of time men and women are paying in their residence is a direct marriage to how a lot they are keen to commit on the household,” Finnigan mentioned.

Knowledge from John Burns Actual Estate Consulting confirmed Google lookups for discretionary property advancement assignments are relocating back again to 2019 to 2020 stages.

The number of shoppers “seeking” to do a kitchen or lavatory remodeling has tanked since peaking in 2021, even though initiatives like changing siding or a roof are viewing steadier look for curiosity.

Home Improvement Google Search Interest:

House Enhancement Google Look for Curiosity: “Want” initiatives vs. “Need” assignments. (Resource: John Burns True Estate Consulting)

Superior inflation has also taken a toll on Diy investing.

Consumers have come to be extra rate delicate as essentials like foods and hire have turn out to be far more expensive. Home Depot claimed the company is viewing “additional sensitivity” as buyers tighten their shelling out.

For experts functioning in remodeling, clients are trading down in merchandise excellent to stay on finances with 60{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} of respondents to a recent survey from John Burns True Estate Consulting reporting this conduct.

Remodeling customers becoming more price sensitive

Transforming consumers becoming far more selling price delicate. (Source: John Burns Real Estate Consulting)

Nonetheless, Finnigan expects demand for tasks to keep on being strong in the several years ahead as housing turnover slows amid higher charges and an ageing housing inventory.

“There is less listings out there, much less listings of residences, less households sold, but [the] fundamental desire for remodeling is higher than it’s been likely for a 10 years,” Finnigan claimed.

“And it is really likely to be better for extended.”

Dani Romero is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter @daniromerotv

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Historic Home and Garden Tour returns

Historic Home and Garden Tour returns

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By Kim Davis | 

Alexandria is household to quite a few remarkable back garden golf equipment whose users include absolutely everyone from licensed skilled gardeners and novice gardeners checking out their eco-friendly thumbs to floral designers who generate spectacular shows for weddings. There are also learners and dabblers of horticulture whose gardens convey chic suppress enchantment, conservationists who fight to shield the natural environment and historic preservationists who work to restore vital Virginia landmarks, How News Today.

On April 23, two area clubs, the Searching Creek Back garden Club and The Back garden Club of Alexandria, will existing the 89th annual Outdated City Alexandria Historic Backyard Week property and backyard tour, a beloved springtime custom that dates to 1929.

GCA was the sole presenter of the fledgling Yard Club of Virginia Historic Backyard garden 7 days statewide tour for 23 yrs.

“According to historic paperwork, our club delivered hostesses for Gunston Hall in 1929. Alexandria did not have properties represented on the tour till 1930. At that time, the tour was dispersed in properties in the course of Alexandria rather [than] only in Old City,” GCA Club President and 3rd-era member Cathy Tyler said.

In 1952, Looking Creek Yard Club joined GCA to present the Outdated Town tour, a partnership that endures to this day. The golf equipment rotate most important obligation for the tour per year, How News Today.

“Although our club participated in the GCV tour prior to Searching Creek turned associated, we appreciate a camaraderie of interests,” Tyler reported. “Besides sharing obligations in presenting the tour, we are all fantastic close friends and delight in operating together.”

The Aged Town tour is part of the GCV’s eight-day statewide celebration from April 23 to 30 encompassing 128 personal residences and gardens. Proceeds fund the restoration and preservation of virtually 50 of Virginia’s historic community gardens and landscapes and a investigate fellowship plan in landscape architecture.

This year’s celebration showcases five historic personal homes and gardens adorned with beautiful floral arrangements designed and executed by backyard garden club users as very well as six historic general public attributes situated in Alexandria and Fairfax County.

Planning for each year’s tour commences two a long time in progress, as tour chairs protected a selection of homes centered inside a precise geographic area in Aged Town to aid a walkable tour. At the time the households and gardens are lined up, the tour chairs then suppose all round administration, appointing subcommittee chairs for distinct elements of party organizing. Meanwhile, planning for the pursuing year’s tour is presently underway by whatsoever sister club is not planning the tour that calendar year.

Photograph/Maria Hopper
A function of the backyard garden at 206 Duke St. is a massive birdhouse reproduction of the Grand Pagoda at Kew Gardens in Terrific Britain.

“We are grateful for the a lot of gracious property owners who open up their households, offering a glimpse powering the doorways of Previous Town’s historic homes and wonderful spring gardens,” tour co-Chair Jackie Locke explained.

“In addition to delivering inspiration for décor and gardening style and design, the tour raises cash essential to the restoration and preservation of Virginia’s historic treasures,” Co-Chair Emily Jones explained.

House owners typically commit months planning their residences and gardens, enterprise updates and planting their gardens with bulbs timed to bloom close to the working day of the tour. For owners involved in the yearly tour, the party provides them with an option to not only present off their residence but the historical past of Old Town as a community.

“Built in the 1790s, my residence originally backed up to an oyster processing plant, which was not uncommon at that time,” Kristen Frykman, proprietor of 515 S. Fairfax St., just one of the residences on this year’s tour, explained. “Residences, manufacturing, carpentry outlets, dry items stores and experienced workplaces all shared this early Previous City neighborhood.”

Frykman concluded a renovation in 2019 and often finds oyster shells in her backyard garden.

Site visitors also delight in floral preparations established by club customers in just every single property. Each individual floral arrangement is created to complement the décor and style of the household and involves months of planning. Arrangers produce inventive renderings to guide selections of containers, floral materials and refreshing spring greenery slash from members’ gardens.

This yr, the GCV challenged arranging teams to use sustainable products for their models in place of petroleum-derived products that contains harmful, non-biodegradable chemicals these types of as formaldehyde. Teams are pivoting to reusable resources these kinds of as chicken wire, flower frogs and water resistant floral tape to stabilize bouquets in containers. A new sustainable material on the sector is also becoming analyzed, but head arranger Laura Francis has so significantly identified it a difficult product with which to get the job done, How News Today.

“Historic Backyard garden Week flower arranging working day is my favourite backyard garden club working day of the 12 months,” Francis, who has extra than 20 a long time of encounter arranging floral bouquets for activities, stated. “Generations of garden club users move along age-aged flower arranging traditions to more youthful generations every year. It is a privilege to be element of a culture that celebrates floral structure as an artwork.”

Image/Vicky Alexander
Laura Francis arranges floral styles in her workroom.

Club designers give all the household arrangements to owners to take pleasure in. Lots of owners use the event to host parties for mates and neighbors subsequent the tour, extending the festivities in an informal way.

For a lot of owners, the tour provides them a opportunity to master extra about the background of their historic dwelling, which can at times generate a shock or two.

Mark and Catherine Hill’s house at 512 Prince St., formerly the home of Patsy Ticer, the first female to serve as Alexandria’s mayor, is a further of the homes on this year’s tour. The Hills found an unconventional series of archways in their basement upon acquiring the assets. Adhering to a little bit of investigation, Mark Hill, a record buff and Carlyle House board member, found out the arches were probable the basis of a smaller bridge.

“Much to our astonishment, our residence is situated on an outdated stream bed that after held a tiny bridge giving secure obtain to Prince Road from the authentic 1783 framework afterwards, the arches ended up used to help the front part of the household built in the early [to] mid 1800s,” Hill said.

The other non-public residences alongside this year’s tour route have equally powerful tales to convey to.

The nucleus of the restored carriage residence at 508 S. Fairfax St. was built as a horse stable involving 1801 and 1807 and reworked in 1874. It was as soon as owned by a immediate descendant of Thomas Jefferson. The present yard features several ornamental elements which include a woman goddess sculpture from Bali.

At 206 Duke St., Alexandria’s well known link with George Washington comes to daily life. The dwelling was originally a frame construction designed in 1794 by George Coryell, whose father was George Washington’s guidebook for the duration of the Innovative War. The loved ones was reported to have rowed Washington across the Delaware River in December 1776 for the surprise assault versus the British. The latest brick townhouse dates to 1836.

The current homeowners renovated the house in 2013, introducing environmentally pleasant geothermal wells underground that heat and great the residence. A element of the garden is a massive birdhouse reproduction of the Grand Pagoda at Kew Gardens in Great Britain.

The property at 323 Duke St. was produced as a long horizontal composition about 1800. The section that is at the moment on the property was a carpentry store for a lot of yrs. It was renovated in the 1950s by a nearby restorationist and yet again by existing homeowners who included a 2nd-ground bed room, tub and dormer.

The tour also contains 6 noteworthy general public homes, such as Carlyle Dwelling Lee-Fendall Dwelling River Farm George Washington’s Mount Vernon Green Spring Gardens and Gunston Corridor.

Tickets are accessible for $55 at www.vagardenweek.org and at the Alexandria Customer Heart, 221 King St., on tour day.

In addition to presenting the Old City HGW tour per year, the two clubs have very long histories of civic beautification, conservation and instruction initiatives in Alexandria which include gardens at The Athenaeum, Alexandria Clinic, Ramsay Home, and Lee-Fendall Property conservation aid for Winkler Botanical Protect, Huntley Meadows Park, and Green Spring Yard and annual scholarships to Nature Camp to teach youths about character.

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Canadian Luxury Real Estate Market Caps Historic Year with

Canadian Luxury Real Estate Market Caps Historic Year with

2021 Highlights

  • Significant deficit of conventional and luxury housing severely constrained sales and the housing mobility of Canadians.
  • The Greater Toronto Area’s luxury performance transcended the Canadian market as $4 million-plus residential sales soared 224{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year and $10 million-plus sales increased 238{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}. City of Toronto sales over $4 million and $10 million surged 188{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} and 173{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} respectively.
  • Vancouver posted annual gains of 171{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} in sales over $4 million, saw the highest annual percentage gains in single family home sales over $10 million of Canada’s largest cities at 240{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}, and broke historic regional records for the highest single family residential sale on a single lot.
  • Multiple records were shattered by Montreal as sales over $4 million surged 171{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year; approximately one in four $1 million-plus sales in the luxury condo market, a new high.
  • Economic recovery revitalized Calgary as tightening market conditions drove 222{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} annual gains in residential sales over $1 million.

TORONTO, Jan. 12, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — The country’s major metropolitan luxury real estate markets broke consecutive records throughout 2021 as Canadians’ urgent, pandemic-influenced demand for housing mobility and strengthening confidence in the country’s economic recovery drove price gains, eroded inventory and propelled markets to historic highs.

According to new data released by Sotheby’s International Realty Canada, the performance of the Greater Toronto Area (Durham, Halton, Peel, Toronto and York) transcended that of other Canadian markets in 2021, as the region’s breakaway performance established a new and unrivalled benchmark for luxury real estate for the nation. Residential real estate sales over $4 million (condominiums, attached and single family homes) soared 224{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year while ultra-luxury sales over $10 million saw annual gains of 238{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} from 2020 levels. Consumer demand gained traction across all luxury housing types through 2021, and $4 million-plus condominium, attached and single family home sales rose 179{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}, 267{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} and 227{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year, respectively. Overall, residential sales above $1 million saw annual sales gains of 194{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}, despite significant constrictions on activity due to enduring supply shortfalls.

As in the case of other major Canadian metropolitan areas, Vancouver’s monumental deficit of conventional and luxury housing supply frustrated sales activity and the mobility of prospective homebuyers and sellers in 2021, leaving demand unsatiated despite urgent and evolving housing needs. Despite supply constraints, residential sales over $4 million and $10 million closed the year at record-breaking volumes that surpassed 2020 levels by a significant 171{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} and 218{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} respectively. Luxury condominium sales over $4 million soared 137{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year, while attached home sales climbed 367{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}. As $4 million-plus single family home sales rose 172{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} in the city, ultra-luxury home sales on Multiple Listing Service (MLS) over $10 million surged a noteworthy 240{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}, the highest annual percentage gains in sales volume experienced in $10 million-plus single family transactions of Canada’s largest urban markets. Vancouver also set a new price record with the private sale of the region’s highest single-family residential sale on a single lot by Sotheby’s International Realty Canada. Overall, 2021 residential real estate sales over $1 million were up 145{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} from 2020 levels.

Montreal’s luxury real estate market surpassed record after record through the course of 2021, setting new benchmarks for sales volume and prices. The city ended the year with $4 million-plus residential real estate sales up 171{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} from 2020 levels, while sales volume over $1 million was up 137{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}. Single family home sales over $1 million increased 130{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year, while $1 million-plus attached home and condominium sales rose 130{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} and 165{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} respectively.

The $1 million-plus residential real estate market in Calgary transitioned into balanced conditions by mid-year, before evolving into sellers’ market conditions through the latter half of 2021. As local consumer confidence firmed with recovering global oil and gas prices and Alberta’s economy, the city’s top-tier market revitalized and sales over $1 million rose 222{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year from the levels seen in 2020, while sales over $4 million doubled to four properties sold. The city’s market for $1 million-plus single family and attached homes saw healthy 219{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} and 244{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} annual sales gains respectively. While condominium sales over $1 million saw robust year-over-year gains of 267{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}, this housing type constituted a minimal percentage of the luxury market with 24 units sold in 2021.

“Canada’s real estate market was redefined in 2021. There has been a transformative change in Canadians’ perceptions of the importance of their homes as an investment in lifestyle and pleasure, physical sanctuary and security, as well as financial stability and generational wealth,” says Don Kottick, President and CEO of Sotheby’s International Realty Canada. “Within the luxury real estate market, one of the pandemic’s lasting influences has been the elevation in standards of what constitutes ‘luxury’. Today’s affluent consumers are seeking a calibre of architectural excellence, design, technology, service and amenities that meet lofty global standards. This willingness to invest in excellence will continue to foster a competitive environment for luxury real estate in the market ahead.”

According to Kottick, local demand was the principal driver of Canada’s luxury and conventional housing market in 2021, as low-interest rates, record cash savings and underlying anxiety regarding future stock market performance continue to encourage diversification into real estate. A gradual increase in international enquiries on luxury properties through the year reflect an ongoing build-up in demand from expatriates, new Canadians and permanent residents that will flow into the market as travel restrictions gradually ease.

2021 Top-Tier Market Highlights

Vancouver

The City of Vancouver’s luxury real estate market maintained a feverish pitch through the course of 2021. Driven by pressing local demand for enhanced living spaces, secondary vacation homes and financial investments due to the repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic, luxury sales finished the year at record high prices and sales volumes across all top-tier housing types.

Overall, luxury residential real estate sales over $4 million (condominiums, attached and single family homes) soared 171{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 410 properties sold in 2021. Despite the increasing desire for privacy by owners of prestigious residences, 24 properties sold over $10 million on Multiple Listing Services (MLS) over the course of the year, a significant 218{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} increase over the 11 properties sold in this ultra-luxury price range in 2020. Overall, residential real estate sales over $1 million were up 145{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 5,794 properties sold in 2021.

$4 million-plus sales trends in the latter half of 2021 reflected the monumental constraints that the city’s shortfall of housing inventory placed on sales activity and the mobility of prospective Vancouver homebuyers. Despite strong underlying local demand, scarce supply resulted in double-digit price gains and frenetic bidding wars. This amplified shortages by discouraging potential sellers from placing homes on the market due to concerns about their ability to secure a new home that would match increasingly lofty prices and desired lifestyles. Overall, sales over $4 million were up a modest 10{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 163 properties sold between July 1 – December 31, 2021, while $10 million-plus luxury sales were up 14{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to eight properties sold. Overall, residential $1 million-plus sales experienced a nominal 1{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} gain to 2,470 properties sold in the last half of 2021.

As in the case of the country’s largest metropolitan real estate markets, the City of Vancouver had experienced its initial post-pandemic rebound in its single family home segment. This demand endured through 2021, propelling luxury single family home sales over $4 million to rise 172{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 362 homes sold, as ultra-luxury sales over $10 million surged 240{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 24 sold in 2021. Overall, $1 million-plus single family home sales were up 129{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 2,909 homes sold.

Sales trends in the latter half of 2021 reflected the pressures placed on a market where the demand for conventional and high-end single family homes significantly outstripped listings. Sales over $4 million saw annual gains of a more moderate 9{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 139 homes sold between July 1– December 31, 2021. During this time, ultra-luxury home sales over $10 million increased 14{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to eight homes sold. Overall, $1 million-plus single family home sales were down 16{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 1,170 homes sold in the last half of 2021.

The city’s luxury attached home market remained robust through 2021, as sales over $4 million climbed 367{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 11 homes sold. As was the case in 2020, no ultra-luxury attached home sales over $10 million were reported in 2021. Overall, 1,285 attached homes sold over $1 million in 2021, up 158{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year. The retreat of discouraged buyers and hesitant sellers from the hyper-competitive attached home market in the latter half of 2021 only magnified the city’s deficiency in attached housing options. While $4 million-plus attached home sales increased to six properties sold between July 1 – December 31, 2021, compared to two sold in the last half of 2020, overall, $1 million-plus attached home sales were up a modest 10{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year during this time to 557 homes sold.

Underlying demand for luxury Vancouver condominiums propelled the market to new records in 2021, even as prospective buyers hesitated given the widening disparity between rising prices and the options available on the market. Over the course of the year, luxury condominium sales over $4 million rose 137{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 37 units sold. There were no ultra-luxury condominium sales over $10 million recorded on MLS in 2021, as activity normalized in this exclusive segment. Overall, $1 million-plus condominium sales increased 171{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 1,600 units sold in 2021.

Sotheby’s International Realty Canada experts noted that as price gains propelled Vancouver luxury condo prices to record highs, potential luxury and ultra-luxury condo purchasers sought features and amenities to match. In the last half of 2021, there was growing discord between the expectations of affluent and ultra-high-net-worth (UHNW) buyers for escalating price points, and the city’s comparatively limited supply of ultra-luxury condominiums reflecting the standards of opulence, prestige and bespoke features, amenities and services common in other major North American and global luxury condo markets. Despite strong underlying demand, sales of condominiums over $4 million were down 5{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year from July 1 – December 31, 2021, to 18 properties sold while the overall $1 million-plus market saw gains of 36{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 743 units sold.

Calgary

Following a tenuous 2020 marked by COVID-19 restrictions and economic uncertainty, the City of Calgary’s $1 million-plus real estate market regained momentum, growth and optimism in 2021. Consumer confidence rose steadily through the year as the job market recovered and unemployment rates reached pre-pandemic levels. The slow but steady recovery of Alberta’s oil and gas industry, the diversification of Calgary’s economy into sectors such as technology, and the attraction of new corporations including Amazon’s cloud-computing server hub into the region, led to a boost in local confidence in top-tier real estate.

With some of the country’s most affordable prices for conventional and luxury homes, a recent generational trends report released by Sotheby’s International Realty Canada revealed that Calgary is not only retaining young locals with affordable housing options, it is also attracting young first-time homebuyers and upsizers from other major Canadian metropolitan areas who are seeking better living standards and top-tier homes at accessible prices. While activity in the conventional and luxury real estate market is predominantly driven by locals, there has also been a new and notable upswing in interest from foreign buyers, particularly from Mainland China and the United States, a reflection of the city’s emerging position on the international real estate stage.

Overall residential real estate sales over $1 million (condominiums, attached, and single family homes), increased 222{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to a total of 1,101 homes sold in 2021, and Calgary reported four luxury property sales in the $4 million-plus segment, double the properties sold in this price category in 2020. Consistent with 2020, there were no ultra-luxury property sales reported over $10 million on MLS; however, local Sotheby’s International Realty Canada experts noted a rise in luxury real estate auctions in the Calgary region through strategic partner Concierge Auctions, in which Sotheby’s, the world’s premier destination for fine art and luxury goods, and Realogy Holdings Corp., the largest full-service residential real estate services company in the United States, recently acquired a joint 80{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} ownership stake. 

While sales activity and housing prices in Calgary’s top-tier real estate market continued to trend upward throughout 2021, the surge in demand rapidly absorbed housing supply; as such, inventory levels, particularly for single family homes, dwindled throughout the year. By December, overall inventory levels were down 29{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year, according to the Calgary Real Estate Board. As a result, Calgary saw fewer conventional and top-tier real estate transactions than its potential in the last six months of the year. From July 1– December 31, 2021, 483 properties sold over $1 million, up 54{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} from the last half of 2020, while three properties sold over $4 million.

Top-tier single family home sales made up 92{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} of 2021 $1 million-plus real estate transactions, with 1,011 homes sold over $1 million, an increase of 219{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year. Of these, three homes sold in the luxury $4 million-plus range, an increase from two sold in 2020. According to leading Sotheby’s International Realty Canada experts, sales activity was restricted in the latter half of the year by the city’s lack of available inventory, rather than lack of demand. As a result, single family home sales over $1 million in the second half of 2021 were up a moderate 53{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 441 properties sold, while luxury sales over $4 million rose to three homes sold from two sold in 2020.

Sales activity in Calgary’s luxury attached home market also soared in 2021, with total sales over $1 million experiencing a 244{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} increase year-over-year. Of the 66 $1 million-plus attached homes sold, none were in the luxury $4 million-plus segment, on par with 2020 levels.

Calgary’s $1 million-plus condominium market was red hot in 2021, signalling a return to city living led by job creation and revitalizing downtown corporate headquarters. According to the Calgary Real Estate Board, 307 total condominium sales were reported in December the City of Calgary in 2021, an increase of 66{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year. Total new listings increased by 2{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}, with benchmark condominium prices holding steady, reporting only a 3{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} increase in 2021 in comparison to 2020, making Calgary’s condominium market an attractive housing type for investors and locals alike. The city’s luxury $1 million-plus condominium sales increased 267{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 24 units sold in 2021. $4 million-plus condominium sales saw a marginal increase to one unit sold in 2021, compared to zero sales above this price point in 2020. In the last half of 2021, top-tier condominium sales over $1 million saw more modest annual gains than in the first half of the year. $1 million-plus sales increased 114{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 15 units sold between July 1– December 31, 2021.

Greater Toronto Area

Canada’s largest luxury real estate market transcended the robust gains experienced across the country as the breakaway performance of the Greater Toronto Area (Durham, Halton, Peel, Toronto and York) catapulted the region to record highs in 2021. According to Sotheby’s International Realty Canada experts, local real estate market confidence has been robust since the start of the pandemic; through 2021, this confidence was amplified by the strength of the GTA economy and continued pandemic-driven lifestyle pressures that resulted in an outpouring of record savings accumulation into housing. The fact that real estate is now a preferred asset class given low-interest rates, inflationary pressures and heightened sensitivity across global financial markets also fueled local demand.

2021 also marked a year in which local ultra-high-net-worth (UHNW) consumers and market-responsive developers and home builders redefined the concept of luxury real estate for the region and for Canada. As GTA buyers increasingly sought bespoke condominiums and single family homes reflecting standards of luxury seen only in the world’s most prestigious real estate markets, regional architectural, interior and outdoor design trends, amenities, and services elevated to new extremes.

Overall, the $4 million-plus residential real estate market (condominiums, attached and single family homes) soared 224{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 805 properties sold in 2021. Ultra-luxury property sales over $10 million recorded on Multiple Listings Service (MLS) surged 238{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 31 properties sold, even as luxury sales continued to migrate away from MLS towards exclusive sales and marketing platforms as homeowners sought to protect privacy. Overall top-tier real estate transactions over $1 million in the GTA were up 194{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 52,776 properties sold in 2021. Within the City of Toronto, luxury sales over $4 million surged 188{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 465 properties sold in 2021, with 19 of these selling over $10 million, up 173{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} from 2020 levels. Overall City of Toronto sales over $1 million rose 158{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} from 2020 to 16,041 properties sold.

Despite the record-setting annual performance, top-tier sales in the last half of 2021 revealed significant strains in the market brought on by the growing imbalance between relentless consumer demand and limited inventory. From July 1–December 31, 2021, the GTA’s $4 million-plus real estate market saw a comparably modest 58{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year increase to 396 properties sold, even though ultra-luxury real estate sales over $10 million were up 167{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 16 units sold. GTA sales over $1 million were up 31{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} overall to 23,506 properties sold in the last half of 2021. During this period, sales in the City of Toronto mirrored this trend. Between July 1–December 31, 2021, sales over $4 million were up a moderate 41{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 234 properties sold while sales over $10 million doubled to 10 units sold. $1 million-plus sales were up 9{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year in the last half of 2021, to 7,028 properties sold.

The luxury condominium market was exuberant in the GTA through 2021. Demand for expansive “mega-units” equipped with international-calibre, ultra-luxury amenities and services such as private entrances and elevators, spacious outdoor spaces, on-call concierge and sommeliers, full spa facilities, state-of-the-art fitness and recreational facilities, and comprehensive business and meeting centres, strengthened amongst local UHNW buyers. Overall luxury condominium sales over $4 million saw a 179{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} annual increase in activity to 43 units sold, with two units selling over $10 million where none had sold above this price in 2020. $1 million-plus condo sales were up 195{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 3,194 units sold in 2021.

The condo market’s steady momentum was reflected in the last half of 2021 when sales over $4 million increased 75{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 28 units sold, while ultra-luxury sales over $10 million rose from zero units sold in 2020 to one unit sold in the last half of 2021. Overall GTA condo sales over $1 million were up 73{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} overall to 1,589 properties sold during this time. City of Toronto condominium sales over $4 million between July 1–December 31, 2021, increased 69{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 27 properties sold, while sales over $10 million were up from zero units in 2020 to one unit in the latter half of 2021. Overall, $1 million-plus sales rose 60{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year in the last half of 2021 to 1,246 condominiums sold.

Attached homes remained one of the GTA’s most coveted luxury housing types in 2021, as diverse buyers bid for limited inventory. The region’s $4 million-plus attached home market experienced a significant 267{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} increase year-over-year to 16 homes sold in 2021 and saw the greatest annual percentage gains of the housing types. Overall top-tier attached home sales over $1 million increased 288{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 9,188 homes sold. In the City of Toronto, sales over $4 million experienced a 267{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} annual increase in sales volume with 16 homes sold in 2021; while overall $1 million-plus attached luxury home sales increased 156{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 3,727 units sold.

Despite strong demand, attached home sales activity reflected the pressures of insufficient regional supply in the latter half of 2021. GTA sales over $4 million were up a healthy 120{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 11 units sold between July 1– December 31, 2021, while sales over $1 million were up 114{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} overall to 4,570 properties sold during this time. With potential activity constrained by limited inventory, City of Toronto attached home sales over $4 million were up 120{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year in the last half of 2021, while $1 million-plus sales were up a modest 3{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}.

The GTA luxury single family home market eclipsed previous sales and price records in 2021. As sales over $4 million increased 227{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} from 2020 levels to 746 homes sold, ultra-luxury sales over $10 million also surged 223{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 29 properties sold. Overall, $1 million-plus single family home sales were up 181{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 40,394 homes sold. In 2021, City of Toronto luxury single family home sales over $4 million and $10 million experienced a 188{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} and 155{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year surge in annual sales activity to 409 and 17 homes sold. Overall sales over $1 million increased 157{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 10,020 homes sold.

The GTA luxury single family home market came under pressure in the last half of 2021, as buyers competed for scarce inventory. $4 million-plus luxury sales rose to 357 homes sold during this period, up 56{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year, while 15 ultra-luxury homes sold over $10 million, up 150{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}. Single family home sales over $1 million were up a modest 16{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year in the latter half of 2021 overall. During this time, City of Toronto single family home sales over $4 million rose 35{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 196 homes sold, while $1 million-plus sales were up 9{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 4,444 transactions.

Montreal

The City of Montreal’s luxury real estate market shattered multiple records in 2021. The city saw steady gains in sales activity and prices that reflected consumer optimism in light of a recovering job market and economy. As low interest rates and pandemic influences continued to motivate buyers to prioritize their living space and focus on upward housing mobility, limited inventory in sought-after neighbourhoods led to a hyper-competitive market within the city and thriving demand for luxury real estate cascaded beyond the city to surrounding areas. Notably, in December 2021, the highest residential property sale through the MLS® (Multiple Listing Service) system in Quebec’s history was recorded by Sotheby’s International Realty Quebec for a private waterfront estate listed at $19,885,000 CAD in the village of Senneville, situated outside the city on the western tip of the Island of Montreal.

Overall, the City of Montreal’s $4 million-plus luxury residential real estate sales (condominiums, attached and single family homes) saw bold gains of 171{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year, with 41 total units sold in 2021. Of these, two properties sold above $10 million, the same number of sales reported in this prestigious price segment in 2020. Sales over $1 million were up 137{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 1,810 properties sold in 2021. Despite steady consumer demand, top-tier sales activity slowed in the second half of 2021 as the shortfall of premier housing inventory coupled with rising prices and buyer expectations thwarted potential transactions. Sales over $4 million between July 1 – December 31, 2021, were up 50{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 27 properties sold, with one transaction reported in the $10 million-plus price point. Overall, $1 million-plus sales were down 3{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 826 properties sold during this time.

Single family home sales made up 44{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} of $1 million-plus real estate transactions in Montreal, with 794 total properties sold in 2021, a 130{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year increase. Strong demand for top-tier single family homes led to steady price gains throughout the year, with the median cost of a single family home in the metropolitan area increasing to $525,000 in November 2021, according to the Quebec Professional Association of Real Estate Brokers, an increase of 21{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year. Of the 794 $1 million-plus single family home sales reported in 2021, 32 did so in the luxury $4 million-plus range, an increase of 178{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} from 2020. One single family home sale was reported in the $10 million-plus price point. Deficient single family home supply limited transactions in the latter half of 2021; as a result, while luxury sales over $4 million were up 46{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 19 homes sold between July 1 – December 31, 2021, overall sales above $1 million fell 11{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 360 transactions during this time.

Montreal’s top-tier attached home market reflected similar trends. In 2021, this housing segment saw 578 home sales reported over $1 million, an increase of 130{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year. Of these, two were reported in the $4 million-plus range where none had sold in this price range in 2020. No attached homes sold over $10 million, as was the case in 2020. Severe supply constraints depressed sales activity in the last half of 2021, as attached home sales over $1 million fell 17{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} to 237 properties sold. Of these, two attached homes sold over $4 million, compared to the fact that there had been no transactions above this price during the same period last year.

Most notably, Montreal’s luxury condominium market soared to new records in 2021, with sales over $1 million rising 165{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year. In fact, condominium sales made up 24{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} of all luxury real estate transactions over $1 million in Montreal in 2021, a new high. As local end-user, investor and out-of-province demand for high-end, high-density housing strengthened, overall, $1 million-plus condominium sales increased 165{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to 438 units sold, while the city’s $4 million-plus condominium market saw sales climb 117{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year-over-year to seven units sold in 2021. One ultra-luxury condominium sold over $10 million in 2021: listed at $12.9 million by Sotheby’s International Realty Quebec, the sale of the penthouse at the Ritz-Carlton Residences in Montreal to a U.S. buyer broke the province’s historic for condominium prices on MLS.

For more information on Sotheby’s International Realty Canada and the 2021 Year End Top-Tier Real Estate Report contact:

Talk Shop Media
Nicole Jerick
778-877-8801
nicole@talkshopedia.com

About Sotheby’s International Realty Canada
Combining the world’s most prestigious real estate brand with local market knowledge and specialized marketing expertise, Sotheby’s International Realty Canada is the leading real estate sales and marketing company for the country’s most exceptional properties. With offices in over 30 residential and resort markets nationwide, our professional associates provide the highest caliber of real estate service, unrivalled local and international marketing solutions and a global affiliate sales network of approximately 1,000 offices in 74+ countries and territories to manage the real estate portfolios of discerning clients from around the world. For further information, visit www.sothebysrealty.ca.

Disclaimer
The information contained in this report references market data from MLS boards across Canada. Sotheby’s International Realty Canada cautions that MLS market data can be useful in establishing trends over time but does not indicate actual prices in widely divergent neighborhoods or account for price differentials within local markets. This report is published for general information only and not to be relied upon in any way. Although high standards have been used in the preparation of the information and analysis presented in this report, no responsibility or liability whatsoever can be accepted by Sotheby’s International Realty Canada or Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates for any loss or damage resultant from any use of, reliance on, or reference to the contents of this document.

Seattle’s real estate year: historic, record-breaking and disturbing

Seattle’s real estate year: historic, record-breaking and disturbing

This year has been a record-breaking, historic, and occasionally quite worrying year for Seattle real estate. But what were the most striking trends of 2021, and what do they help us predict about 2022? 

As the year wraps up just as strangely as the one before it, real estate has again broken records all over the nation. The pandemic rages on, and in America, the concept of work from home has changed from a temporary measure to a permanent situation for many workers. This trend has changed where, how — and perhaps above all, why — people buy homes in this country.

The combination of virus-related home buying habits, a volatile stock market, low interest rates, a shortage of (and inflated prices on) building materials, rising home prices, general inflation, and a growing disparity in the distribution of wealth has added up to a crazy, unprecedented year for real estate — and that very much includes the Seattle market.

Prices


According to a study released by Seattle’s own Redfin, the typical U.S. home sold for nearly $400,000, up 24.4{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} from 2020. In Seattle, the typical home sold for $725,000, just under 3{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} higher than last year.

This may not seem like a lot, but remember that 2020 was the first year of the pandemic, and that real estate market behavior changed drastically then. To see the effect of the pandemic, which is obviously still affecting the market, comparisons to Seattle’s markets in 2019 and earlier are more illuminating — such as this one posted in the Seattle Times, based off the Case-Shiller Index.

This graph, based on the Case-Shiller index, better shows the remarkable gain in real estate values since before the pandemic. 

This graph, based on the Case-Shiller index, better shows the remarkable gain in real estate values since before the pandemic. 

Seattle Times

The increase in prices since 2019 is quite dramatic.

Incidentally, this year did bring double-digit increases to some Seattle areas: Norada Real Estate Investment’s year end blog tells us that in “the Eastside and Southeast King County map areas, prices jumped more than 26{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} from a year ago.”

What’s driving prices up? And will they come down in 2022? To answer that, we must consider other market indicators.

Inventory

Redfin reported that nationally, “home supply dropped to its lowest level in history — there were just 1.38 million homes for sale in June, down 23{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year over year.” All over the nation, supply outstrips demand. 

Consider that since, 2010, Seattle’s population growth has increased by nearly 19{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}, which according to the U.S. Census, makes it the fastest growing city among the 50 largest cities in the country.

The major coastal seaport of Seattle.

The major coastal seaport of Seattle.

Soltan Frédéric/Getty Images, Getty Images

Add to this influx the factors of a tech market paying the 2nd highest salaries in the country. Market performance in Seattle has kept pace with its increasing connection to big tech: 

“Over the past 10 years, Amazon has grown more than tenfold in the city of Seattle, from about 4,000 employees in its hometown to over 45,000,” wrote Norada Real Estate Investments. “During the same time, the median home price in the city has shot up from $420,000 to $720,000, according to the Northwest MLS.”

Big tech is big money, and Seattle has moved into second place, behind only the Silicon Valley, as a city for tech industry. 

Big tech is big money, and Seattle has moved into second place, behind only the Silicon Valley, as a city for tech industry. 

Kmatta/Getty Images, Getty Images

Days on the market

Redfin reported that the typical home in the U.S. sold in just 15 days, “the lowest median days on market in history and down from 39 days in June of 2020.” Over 60{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} of American homes went off the market in two weeks.  In Seattle, that number was cut in half: the typical Seattle home sold in just seven days. 

Bidding wars

The low number of days on the market correlates with a record number of over-bid offers this year. Why let a house linger on the MLS when someone offers you 20{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}, 30{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} or 50{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} over asking the first day your home lists for sale? Indeed, Redfin data shows that nationally, more than half of homes sold above list price: “56.5{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} of homes went for above list price” in 2021, up 29.6{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} from 2020.

But what about Seattle? After the initial freeze the virus put on real estate in 2020, bidding wars picked up and by that year’s end, over-bids were common features of home sales. This year, the bidding wars intensified. In Seattle, 55.7{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} of homes sold above listing price in 2021. 

The luxury market

Luxury homes obviously command a premium price, but the pandemic put a premium on that existing premium. Because such homes include features like massive space, offices, gyms, compound/estate living, large lots with outdoor features like pools and sports courts, and are often located on or near the waterfront and/or open land, they can deliver a sanctuary. And lockdown can be quite pleasant in a sanctuary. 

Redfin data shows that “the median sale price of U.S. luxury homes jumped 25.8{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} year over year to $1,025,000” nationally. In Seattle, the typical luxury home sold for 12.58{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} more than the year before, and in this market, the most premium price of all went to waterfront property. Luxury single family homes in King County have increased as much as 50{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} in selling price since 2019, and the most expensive condo sales of 2021 either had waterfront or water views. 

17 story "Great Wheel" at Pier 57, Seattle Waterfront, Seattle, WA, USA

17 story “Great Wheel” at Pier 57, Seattle Waterfront, Seattle, WA, USA

Stuart Westmorland/Getty Images, Getty Images

What’s on tap for 2022?

We predict more of the same in 2022. Unless the Feds drastically raise mortgage rates, unless suddenly supply outpaces demand, and of course, barring (another) unforeseen catastrophe, the Seattle market is unlikely to cool off in the coming year. 

Anna Marie Erwert writes from both the renter and new buyer perspective, having (finally) achieved both statuses. She focuses on national real estate trends, specializing in the San Francisco Bay Area and Pacific Northwest. Follow Anna on Twitter: @AnnaMarieErwert. 



Mansion Global Daily: Holidays Don’t Hamper Historic Luxury Real Estate Run in Manhattan, Kemba Walker Finally Sells Boston-Area Mansion, and More

Mansion Global Daily: Holidays Don’t Hamper Historic Luxury Real Estate Run in Manhattan, Kemba Walker Finally Sells Boston-Area Mansion, and More


Despite a Holiday Slowdown, Deals for Manhattan Luxury Real Estate Were Three Times the 10-Year Average

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THE INSIDERS


The Pandemic Brought a Renewed Interest in True Craftsmanship, Says French Furniture Maker

Martin Pietri, founder of Emblem Paris, talks about the appetite for classic Parisian designs, mixing heritage pieces with modern interiors and expanding to New York. Read More

NEWS BITES

Sydney Suburban Mansion With a Tennis Court Sells for a Record A$12 Million

A six-bedroom mansion in Pymble on the upper north shore of Sydney, sold for A$12 million (US$8.54 million) over the weekend, setting a record for the suburb. The previous record for Pymble was established in June 2020, when a multi-level residence sold for A$9.87 million. The home has five bathrooms, multiple living areas indoors and outside, a pool, a tennis court and landscaped gardens. It last traded in October 2015 for A$7.05 million. Domain

Historic Property in Kent, England, Asks £1.15 Million

Water Farm, a Grade II-listed, 3-acre property near Ashford in Kent, England, is on the market for £1.15 million (US$1.53 million). Originally built circa 1720 on a deer park, the property has a five-bedroom main residence with about 3,000 square feet of living space, a granary cottage with two additional bedrooms and an open-plan kitchen/living area. Outdoors, there are formal gardens, a pond, a tennis court, a paddock and several outbuildings including a garage and a workshop. Country Life

A Four-Bedroom Apartment in New York’s Lincoln Square Is Available for $4.5 Million

A four-bedroom condo apartment in the Manhattan cultural hub of Lincoln Square, is for sale for $4.5 million. Encompassing roughly 2,250 square feet of living space, the home has two-and-a-half bathrooms, a home office/library, a great room, a formal dining room and a chef’s kitchen. Throughout, the apartment features coffered ceilings, handcrafted moldings, marble slab floors, a new home automation system and motorized shades. The building, known as the Coronado, has a fitness center, a sauna room, a billiards room and a children’s playroom. 6sqft

Former Celtics Player Kemba Walker Sells His Boston Mansion

Former Boston Celtics point guard Kemba Walker has sold his Brookline, Massachusetts, mansion four months after signing with the New York Knicks. Mr. Walker, 31, bought the 9,592-square-foot mansion in the Boston area in 2019 for $11.25 million. The sale price was undisclosed, according to filings made public last week. The limestone mansion has six bedrooms, eight bathrooms, a custom double bridal iron staircase, two kitchens, an au pair suite and a paneled library. boston.com

AROUND NEWS CORP

Donald Trump’s Brother Owned These New York City Apartments for Years, but Never Moved In [The Wall Street Journal]

Has the Housing Market Peaked? That May Depend on Where You Live [realtor.com]

The Wild Ride of 2021 Home Prices [Barron’s]

Signs Aussies Are Escaping to Country [news.com.au]