Home improvement spending to soften over next year

Home improvement spending to soften over next year

Expansion in home renovation paying out is expected to soften following year as less assets homeowners fix up their residences in preparing for sale, the latest report from the Joint Centre for Housing Studies of Harvard University said.

The analyze forecasts that year-above-12 months gains will slow to 10.1{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} by the conclude of the initial half of 2023 from 15.9{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} for the just-finished 2nd quarter and 17.4{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} by the close of this year. Having said that, this year’s pace of progress was well forward of what the JCHS anticipated very last July as that Major Indicator of Reworking Exercise report predicted yearly progress of 8.2{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} by the next quarter of 2022.

“Slowing profits of existing properties, mounting home finance loan desire fees, and moderating house selling price appreciation are envisioned to dampen owners’ investments in household improvements and routine maintenance above the coming 12 months,” Carlos Martín, undertaking director of the JCHS’ Remodeling Futures Application, said in a push release. “Steep slowdowns in homebuilding, retail product sales of making materials, and renovation permits all also position to a cooling natural environment for residential remodeling.”

NMN071922-renovation

Continue to, this predicted expansion is effectively previously mentioned the historic common of 5{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}, additional Abbe Will, JCHS associate undertaking director. Yearly remodeling expenditures are established to boost to almost $450 billion in the course of the 1st 50 {d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} of subsequent calendar year, in portion due to mounting costs.

A lot of the reworking action tends to happen all over the time of a property sale, a summary centered on hunting at the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Housing Survey, Will extra in an job interview.

“In particular in a a lot more usual or usual housing sales marketplace, a latest proprietor could do a small bit of get the job done on their property in advance of putting their household up for sale just to get top greenback,” Will mentioned.

Following a residence is purchased, the knowledge displays that a new operator is much more likely to do a renovation in just three a long time of going in compared with those who have been in a house for a for a longer time time period of time, Will continued.

Nonetheless, present homeowners, as soon as they notice they will be in a property more time than planned, might be carrying out discretionary tasks these kinds of as kitchen area or rest room remodeling or a place addition. But there are also need-primarily based initiatives this sort of as roof, siding or window alternative.

“These jobs are a lot more appealing to undertake when householders recognize they are going to be in the dwelling more time than they expected,” Will claimed. The ordinary duration of time a homeowner occupies a residence has grown to a file higher of 10.6 several years, in accordance to Very first American.

Baby boomer home owners, all those in excess of 55 many years outdated, have develop into the major spenders for home enhancement tasks, with some spill in excess of into Gen X as nicely. The large the greater part of the U.S. housing inventory is not suited for ageing in position, which a developing section of the population is accomplishing. These property owners are seeking at retrofitting their home for accessibility if they have the resources to do so, Will said.

Meanwhile young house owners are fascinated in making “eco-friendly” improvements to their home, with their desire significantly pronounced for projects this sort of as solar panel installation and vitality-efficiency improvements, a Fannie Mae survey found.

“We also found that 28{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} of owners are ‘somewhat’ or ‘very’ involved about unexpected house repair service prices,” a blog submit from Kevin Tillmann, marketplace investigation affiliate for Fannie Mae’s Nationwide Housing Study, reported. “Notably, a single-third of house owners indicated that the expenses needed to make home repairs have been greater than anticipated, and 28{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} expressed worry that sudden maintenance expenditures could make it difficult to fork out their home finance loan or other regular monthly costs.”

Nonetheless, between householders involving 18 and 34, 51{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} would be interested in earning vitality efficient improvements, though 48{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} would set up photo voltaic panels if they could roll the fees into their home finance loan. For all house owners surveyed, this was 34{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} and 32{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} respectively.

At least a single financial institution, Guild Property finance loan, rolled out this sort of a system in April with House Depot. With GreenSmart Advantage customers can finance the invest in of power-efficient fridges, garments washers and dryers, dishwashers and good thermostats in their house loan.

“The put together price of home repairs and advancements can make up practically 20{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} of the overall value of homeownership,” Tillmann explained. “It is also distinct from these study effects that this is an unanticipated stress for a significant part of householders.”

Just below 4 in 10 of decrease cash flow homeowners surveyed (described as these building fewer than 80{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} of the area’s median cash flow) reported their dwelling restore expenditures ended up greater than expected. Conversely, this was real for 30{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} of all those earning extra than 120{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} of the AMI.

Luxury Home Buyers Spending Less Amid Inflation and Falling Stocks

Luxury Home Buyers Spending Less Amid Inflation and Falling Stocks

  • The housing market is beginning to feel some effects of rising inflation and interest rates.
  • Even luxury buyers are expected to cut back on million dollar homes, according to an agent.
  • But overall, cash purchases and low supply will keep them buying homes at a similar rate. 

Buyers of luxury properties are likely to change their behavior amid worsening economic conditions, but they’ll still come off better than the average buyer, the boss of a luxury Florida agency has said.

Gerard Liguori is the co-owner of Premier Estate Properties, a Florida-based brokerage that sells properties exclusively in excess of $1 million in value, alongside twin brother Joe Liguori, and Carmen N. D’Angelo, Jr. He told Insider that his buyers weren’t likely to be entirely shielded from the current economic headwinds.  

Premier Estates, with offices in Florida locations including Boca Raton, Fort Lauderdale, and Palm Beach sold $3.1 billion worth of property last year, and its average sale value is around $8 million, according to Liguori.

‘Instead of buying a $10 million home, they may buy a $7 million home’

Analysts are largely in agreement that a housing bubble isn’t currently engulfing the US market, with 22 out of 32 experts telling Insider it was unlikely. But it doesn’t mean frugality isn’t returning. Home sales plunged 17{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} last month, indicating cooling sentiment among buyers, while Insider’s William Edwards reported an economist who predicted the last bubble saying house prices would likely fall. 

Liguori said these headwinds were beginning to move up to a lot of his buyers. “People realize they don’t have as much purchasing power, and sales are slowing up in all sectors,” he said. “It hasn’t hit our market quite yet, but I’m sure that it will.”

Liguori said the company saw strong growth last year following a migration of wealthy buyers from New York, Chicago, and California. But a downturn in the stock market now threatens those buyers’ spending power, Liguori said. 

The S&P 500, the index tracking the top 500 public US companies, has lost more than 17{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} of its value since the start of the year, while the NASDAQ 100 has lost more than a quarter. That, Liguori said, could impact sales, with buyers either investing or working directly in stock markets.

Liguori cited an example of a client who works in New York, who was holding off a purchase in the Hamptons for more than $1 million.

“A few months ago we would have had it done, but now, because of the stock market there’s a little more hesitation,” Liguori said, indicating that homes going for between $1 million and $3 million were more reliant on financing.  

At the higher end, Liguori added clients may show some restraint. “Instead of buying a $10 million home, they may buy a $7 million home,” he said.

More cash, fewer problems

826 REEF ROAD VERO BEACH, FL 32963

A $12 million property in Vero Beach, Florida.

Premier Estate Properties


But rich homebuyers, in general, will be largely shielded from the headwinds faced by the average buyer. 

Millions of Americans are thought to have been priced out of the housing market this year by rising interest rates. But most buyers of luxury homes, Liguori said, were purchasing with cash. This means they would be insulated from mortgage rate increases. 

Indeed, with inflation rising, Liguori said buyers had an incentive to put cash into assets before it becomes devalued, while homes, he said, offered a safer investment than stock markets right now. 

“A lot of people want to diversify their portfolio,” Liguori said. “So sometimes when the stock market comes down, they’ll diversify into real estate, or gold. So that has a little bit of an offset.”

The final reason was supply. Like the wider market, where housing supply is near record lows, Liguori has watched the company’s inventory half over the last year, resulting in homes that sold for $600 per square foot last year going for $1,200 per square foot now. 

In turn, Liguori suggested, the problems pricing out the average first-time buyer would likely work to embolden luxury purchases. In other words, housing inequality won’t be corrected by a possible downturn.

Home renovation: Lifestyle changes, aging homes, rising prices spur record spending | Science & Environment

Home renovation: Lifestyle changes, aging homes, rising prices spur record spending | Science & Environment

About a year after the onset of the pandemic, Kathy Lange-Novak and her husband, Frank Novak, decided it was time to update their Fitchburg home.

After 26 years, the floors, countertops and appliances were showing their age, and the couple thought they needed to upgrade before putting the house on the market.

“This is the first time we’ve remodeled anything,” Kathy said. “It needed an overhaul.”

Like so many Americans, the recently retired couple had spent most of the past year at home as COVID-19 health restrictions limited their social activities.

“It’s one thing when you go, ‘We could really use new carpeting, but we can go to the movies,’” and forget about it, Lange-Novak said. “When you have to look at it — that’s when you think, ‘I really need to do something about it.’”







Home remodeling

P.J. Ender, lead carpenter for Degnan Design-Build-Remodel in DeForest, works in the kitchen of a Middleton home undergoing a complete first-floor remodel. U.S. homeowners are expected to spend a record $430 billion this year on renovations.




Spurred by a housing shortage, aging structures and occupants, and months spent cooped up indoors, U.S. homeowners spent nearly $370 billion last year updating and renovating their homes, according to Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies. That record number is expected to top $430 billion this year, a whopping 28{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} increase from 2020 spending levels.

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“It’s a big market,” said Abbe Will, a senior researcher at the center, which has been tracking residential remodeling for nearly three decades.

While there are multiple factors, Will said lifestyle changes brought about by the pandemic have only encouraged more home improvement spending, as people seek to make homes fit their changing needs — whether that’s working from home or just spending more time there.







Abbe Will

Will




“Homeowners (want) to maximize every inch of space they have when they’re spending so much more time at home,” Will said.

‘A building crescendo’

Initially, 2020 looked to be another year of modest growth for the home remodeling industry, until the shutdown of most nonessential services in March brought projects to a halt. But builders say their phones started ringing again that summer as people realized the pandemic wasn’t going away.

“It’s just been a building crescendo of work,” said Chad Speight, owner and president of Chad’s Design-Build in Madison. “We started to see an uptick in demand as people were stuck at home staring at whatever needed to be improved or replaced.”







Home remodeling

Degnan Design-Build-Remodel employees Amy Volkmann and David Luecht hang wallpaper as part of a home remodeling project in Middleton. Builders say people are looking to expand, create spaces for work or recreation, redo bathrooms and kitchens, and generally make their homes more comfortable.




Abe Degnan, owner of Degnan Design-Build-Remodel in DeForest, said people are looking to make their homes bigger, create spaces for work or recreation, redo bathrooms and kitchens and generally make their homes more comfortable.

“People are eating out less and cooking more,” Degnan said. “Things they used to ignore … are driving them crazy.”

The unprecedented demand, combined with labor shortages and supply chain issues, has resulted in lead times of one or even two years and project delays.

Speight said he’s basically booked through next year, even with a couple of new employees. “We would hire more carpenters right now if we could,” he said.

Jonathan Graves, co-owner of Ironwood Construction in Madison, said he’s been so busy the past two years that he’s had to turn away new clients.

“We could not keep up,” he said. “We had to pick and choose our jobs.”

Material shortages and volatile pricing have also created logistical challenges.

Lumber prices quadrupled in the spring of 2021 amid surging demand and supply chain constraints and are still more than double pre-pandemic levels. That had ripple effects on manufactured materials like windows and cabinets.

Speight said suppliers used to give contractors a month or two notice of annual price increases.

“Now we get notification on Thursday that prices are going up tomorrow,” he said. “Take it or leave it.”







Home remodeling

Joanna Ivey used a microwave, crockpot and toaster for about six months this year while remodeling the kitchen and dining room of her Westmorland home, but she said the inconvenience “will absolutely be worth it.”




Extra incentive

Joanna Ivey and Jack Gordon got a lesson in supply-chain management this spring, midway through a major home renovation.

After nearly a decade, Ivey said 2020 was the year she finally decided to remodel her 64-year-old West Side ranch.

“We kind of had this vision since we moved in. We just didn’t have the money to do it when the kids were little,” she said. “The kitchen was literally falling apart.”

Ivey ran her graphic design firm from home even before the pandemic, but the lockdown provided some extra incentive to remodel the kitchen and living space.

“You just stare at it all the time,” she said. “We’re not having people over.”

Ivey started interviewing contractors in November 2020, and construction started in January, a full year after signing a contract. The work was supposed to be done by early April, but the cabinets didn’t arrive on time.

“They didn’t have the wood, which is nuts to me,” she said.

Ivey said the project should be done in time for her son’s graduation party in June, and despite living without a kitchen for six months, “it will absolutely be worth it.”

“It’s a ranch, so it will be great for retirement and beyond,” she said. “It’s the perfect house and the perfect location.”

Other forces

While the pandemic was a catalyst for many home renovation projects, it’s hardly the only factor.

Since the housing market crash that triggered the recession of 2008-2009, U.S. homebuilders simply haven’t kept pace with demand. In fact, spending on home repair and maintenance has outpaced new homebuilding.

“We’re not building enough to meet the demand, and that puts a lot of pressure on the existing housing stock,” Will said.

At the same time, Americans move about half as often as they did three decades ago, according to Census Bureau data. Homeowners are even less mobile, moving just once every 20 years on average.







Mark Eppli

Eppli




And over the past couple of years most homeowners have refinanced at historically low interest rates, creating yet another incentive to stay put, said Mark Eppli, director of the James A. Graaskamp Center for Real Estate at the Wisconsin School of Business.

That means Baby Boomers are sticking around — or “aging in place” — at a time when millions of millennials each year are reaching the traditional home-buying age, contributing to additional pressure on housing prices.

And because of soaring prices, Will said the average homeowner has accumulated hundreds of thousands of dollars in equity that they can use to finance their improvements.







Home remodeling

Ruslans Kozloeskis, a carpenter with Degnan Design-Build-Remodel, adds hardware to new drawers at a Middleton home renovation.




So long as the bottleneck persists, property values will continue to rise, which is good for homeowners but bad news for millennials and others who find themselves priced out of the market and unable to accumulate property wealth.

“It makes it more difficult for that first-time homebuyer to enter the market,” Eppli said. “There’s not much of a silver lining for that group.”


In 'frenzy' of housing market, buyers take risks or risk losing out

Driven by demographic shifts, economic forces and the societal changes wrought by the COVID-19 pandemic, Wisconsin home prices are soaring, forcing home buyers to take unprecedented risks.

The march of time

Just as more homeowners are aging in place, their homes are also aging.

Most Wisconsin homes are more than 40 years old, according to Census Bureau data, and more than a third were built before 1960. That’s a lot of roofs, siding and carpeting that needs to be replaced. And a lot of homes built for a different lifestyle.







Home remodeling

Heidi Kent and her husband, Mark McFadden, plan to expand the kitchen and add a main-floor bathroom to make their East Side bungalow better fit their needs as they age. 




Consider Mark McFadden and Heidi Kent’s Near East Side bungalow. The only bathroom is on the second floor, and the kitchen can comfortably accommodate one, which may have been fine when the home was built in 1919.

“The kitchen was treated as this very utilitarian environment,” McFadden said. “When I go over to friends’ houses … I expect to spend time in the kitchen.”

Assuming the materials are available, McFadden and Kent hope to start work this summer on a long-planned renovation to enlarge the kitchen, add a main floor bath and make the home more accessible.

An internet security consultant, McFadden has worked from home for decades and said the pandemic wasn’t really a factor in their decision, though it has affected the timing of the job.

“The planning is done. Everything is ordered,” he said. “Now it’s mostly a waiting game.”

McFadden, 66, said he and Kent love the neighborhood and want to make their home “a more wonderful place for us to spend the rest of our lives.”







Home remodeling

Heidi Kent looks at designs for her home renovation. Kent and her husband, Mark McFadden, say they like their East Side neighborhood but want to make their 103-year-old home more comfortable.




“We’re not interested in accumulating property wealth,” McFadden said. “We’re interested in having a house that’s more comfortable … easier for older people to get around.”

Kathy Lange-Novak had different ideas when she embarked on her home renovations last year. She figured fixing up the home was a prerequisite for selling it a few years from now.

But now that the work is done, Lange-Novak said she doesn’t want to leave.

“Being home a lot made us say, ‘Let’s fix it up,’” she said. “Fixing it up has made us want to stay home more.”

The Home Improvement Research Institute Predicts Continued Growth for Home Improvement Products Market, with Ease in Consumer Spending Through 2026

The Home Improvement Research Institute Predicts Continued Growth for Home Improvement Products Market, with Ease in Consumer Spending Through 2026

Data from the recently released market update indicates a return to pre-pandemic market levels as inflation spikes and households complete home improvement projects

Home Improvement Research Institute (HIRI) (PRNewsfoto/Home Improvement Research Institute (HIRI))

Home Improvement Research Institute (HIRI) (PRNewsfoto/Home Improvement Research Institute (HIRI))

INDIANAPOLIS, April 28, 2022 /PRNewswire/ — The Home Improvement Research Institute, the nation’s leading resource for market research concerning the home and building products industry, has forecasted consumer spending on home improvement products will steady after two years of extreme demand following the COVID-19 pandemic. Rising inflation, reduced real household income and completed projects led HIRI to forecast that overall consumer market sales will increase by 2.8{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} in 2023 to $382.5 billion. This research was conducted in partnership with IHS Markit and released to HIRI members at the end of Q1 in the biannual Home Improvement Products Market Forecast.

Looking at growth over the last 10 years, the 2.8{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} increase reflects a healthy market. In 2020 and 2021 alone, consumer spending on home improvement soared to 15{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} and 13.3{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}, respectively, as homeowners invested time and money into their spaces that served as homes, offices, schools, gyms and more.

“The extreme increase in demand for home improvement products that we witnessed because of the pandemic was bound to calm sooner or later,” said HIRI Research Director Matthew Craig. “While consumer spending is easing slightly on home improvement products, it is important to emphasize that any future boost is compounded on previous unprecedented growth. The market is still performing very well.”

HIRI cites differing economic circumstances and homeowner needs as reasons for the shift in consumer demand. This year, households are seeing real income decline as inflation climbs and stimulus payments recede. The Forecast predicts U.S. real disposable income to decline by 3.5{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} in 2022 after climbing 2.2{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} in 2021.

For those left unaffected, disposable funds are expected to be directed toward hobbies or other major purchases, as many report pandemic-era projects being brought to completion. However, contractor-led projects are expected to see an uptick as homeowners become comfortable allowing professional help into their living spaces again.

In the short term, the Forecast predicts the total building products market to grow by 4.2{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} in 2022, with the consumer market growing by 2.6{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} and the professional market growing by 7.9{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}. Between 2024 and 2026, the consumer market is expected to average about 3.2{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} growth, and the professional market to average around 4.8{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} growth for the same period. This projection highlights a significant rise in contractor activity as well as an overall continued interest in home improvement in the coming years.

The Forecast further breaks down this growth by segmented merchandise line.

Top-growing merchandise lines for consumers

Compound annual growth rate for the consumer market between 2022 and 2026:

  • Lawn and garden equipment and supplies: 6.0{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}

  • Dimensional lumber and boards: 5.1{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}

  • Doors and molding: 5.0{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}

  • Electrical supplies: 4.8{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}

  • Nursery stock and soil treatments: 4.8{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}

  • Plywood and related products: 4.6{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}

  • Siding and exterior trim: 4.2{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}

Top-growing merchandise lines for professionals

Compound annual growth rate for the professional market between 2022 and 2026:

  • Dimensional lumber and boards: 7.6{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}

  • Doors and molding: 7.5{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}

  • Plywood and related products: 7.2{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}

  • Siding and exterior trim: 6.4{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}

  • Electrical supplies: 6.3{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}

  • Lawn and garden equipment and supplies: 6.0{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}

  • Paint sundries and other supplies: 5.8{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9}

Since 1992, the Home Improvement Products Market Forecast has provided the home improvement industry’s only product-focused size of market study with five-year forecasts for the consumer and professional markets. Product category–level detail is provided for the consumer market and, since 2018, for the professional market. Geographic detail is also provided for the nine census divisions with annual estimates at the state level. The Forecast is released in the spring (Q2) and fall (Q3) exclusively to HIRI members.

HIRI members receive unlimited access to Home Improvement Products Market Forecasts and $1 million worth of additional industry research. For industry professionals, publishers, marketing executives and more, HIRI is the top source of data to help guide business decisions.

Learn more and join as a member at hiri.org.

About the Home Improvement Research Institute
HIRI is the leading non-profit business organization for more than 100 of the biggest names in the home improvement industry. Our goal has always been to provide companies of all sizes with actionable resources ranging from raw data to digestible executive summaries to shape business decisions. Join as a member for unlimited access to $1 million worth of industry research. For more information, visit www.hiri.org.

Cision

Cision

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SOURCE Home Improvement Research Institute (HIRI)

Top Real Estate News for Friday, Nov. 19, 2021: 2 REITs and More Fed Spending

Top Real Estate News for Friday, Nov. 19, 2021: 2 REITs and More Fed Spending

A mall giant and a nursing home REIT could benefit from more public spending, two Fools parse out residential iBuying, why UWM stock surged today, outer space commercial real estate, and don’t sleep on the pandemic.

Two REITs that would benefit from the government putting more money into the economy

With an infrastructure bill now signed into law and a huge package addressing social spending and climate change passed by the House today, now might be a good time to look at real estate investment trusts (REITs) that could benefit from more government money going into the economy.

Motley Fool contributor Reuben Gregg Brewer picks out mall giant Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG) and senior housing specialist Omega Healthcare Investors (NYSE:OHI) as beneficiaries of more cash flow to consumers in general and the hard-hit nursing home niche. There certainly could be more.

Two adults and two kids in a house.

(Image source: Getty Images.)

Two major red flags with Zillow’s iBuying failure

Zillow (NASDAQ:ZG)(NASDAQ:Z) recently surprised investors by announcing that it plans to exit the iBuying business entirely, despite having promoted it as the biggest future growth driver of the company. In this Fool Live clip, Fool.com contributors Matt Frankel and Tyler Crowe discuss two of the biggest red flags they see with this move.

Matt and Tyler parse out what happened, as the company with perhaps the most residential real estate data of all couldn’t do better with its number-crunching, and how rivals Opendoor and Offerpad could do better with this new way of buying.

Why shares of UWM stock surged today

Shares of mortgage originator UWM Holdings (NYSE:UWMC) had jumped more than 15{d4d1dfc03659490934346f23c59135b993ced5bc8cc26281e129c43fe68630c9} as of 2:40 p.m. ET after the company said it had decided not to go through with a planned secondary offering. UWM also said that it would “accelerate” its previously announced share repurchase program.

Motley Fool contributor Bram Berkowitz says it seems a bit wonky to announce a secondary offering and then reverse course two days later. But market conditions have not been easy this week, and at the end of the day the accelerated repurchase plan will make existing shares more valuable, so shareholders are not complaining.

Bezos planning “Space Business Park”: Is this the next real estate investing frontier?

Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin has partnered with several aerospace interests to create the first commercial business park in space: Orbital Reef. They plan to have it up and running by the end of the 2020s, just in time to replace the soon-to-be decommissioned International Space Station (ISS).

Motley Fool contributor Kristi Waterworth also notes here that as futuristic and far-fetched as a business park in space may sound, Bezos’ team isn’t the only one determined to create the world’s longest commute. Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) has teamed with other space hopefuls to race Blue Origins to space with its Starlab. 

Pandemic resurgence may be slipping under the radar here but shouldn’t be

Nations across Europe are ramping up their fight against COVID-19, up to full lockdowns, as the delta variant drives up cases and casualties. Bloomberg points out in a post today that the word “lockdown” doesn’t appear at all in Goldman Sachs’ (NYSE:GS) and Morgan Stanley‘s (NYSE:MS) outlooks for Europe now out for 2022, and a survey of fund managers by Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) places the virus fifth on its list of risks to markets.

The holidays and flu season are here, and COVID-19 doesn’t appear to be as threatening to many right now as inflation, but real estate investors need to be alert to changes that could send people back home from stores, restaurants, and offices.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium advisory service. We’re motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer.

PAC spending in Seattle elections tops  million with late surge in real estate, business money

PAC spending in Seattle elections tops $3 million with late surge in real estate, business money

Political action committees have built far more than $3 million in unbiased expenditures in Seattle’s elections this 12 months, placing a record many thanks partly to a late surge run by donors from the actual estate and business worlds.

PACs with such donors have poured nearly $800,000 into races for mayor, city legal professional and Metropolis Council soon just before Tuesday’s ballot deadline, with Seattle for Typical Sense, Change Seattle and the Nationwide Association of Realtors Fund each and every reporting large expenses in the previous pair of months.

Their shelling out follows earlier, even bigger outlays by PACs dedicated to serving to mayoral candidates Bruce Harrell and M. Lorena González, with persons and labor unions creating massive checks in the method.

Independent expenditures have totaled about $3.4 million — just about triple the quantity in the city’s 2017 elections, when the same 4 positions were on the ballot. This sort of expenses cannot be coordinated with the actual candidates.

Seattle for Common Sense has noted investing about $360,000 since Oct. 12, with most of that flowing in the earlier 7 days. The dollars has typically been put in on mailers attacking city lawyer applicant Nicole Thomas-Kennedy.

The PAC has far more than 100 contributors, which include some compact donors. But most of the revenue has come in $5,000 to $25,000 checks. The prime donors are Goodman Serious Estate’s John Goodman Gordon Trucking’s Steve Gordon Vulcan Genuine Estate transportation-distribution organization Saltchuk authentic estate business Sabey Company Wright Runstad & Company’s Jon and Judith Runstad Microsoft President Brad Smith and investor Mikal Thomsen.

Improve Seattle has reported shelling out about $233,000 considering that Oct. 12, mainly on mailers attacking council applicant Nikkita Oliver. The PAC has more than 180 contributors, which includes a range of tiny donors.

The leading donors are Vulcan Saltchuk Jon and Judith Runstad Mariners co-proprietor Christopher Larson a PAC for Seattle resort and cafe homeowners a PAC for the Washington state chapter of the Commercial Serious Estate Growth Association and a PAC for the Washington Multi-Spouse and children Housing Association.

The Countrywide Association of Realtors Fund reported shelling out about $191,000 on Oct. 14, split amongst mailers and on the net advertisements supporting mayoral applicant Bruce Harrell and Oliver’s Situation 9 opponent, Sara Nelson.

Thomas-Kennedy, Oliver and incumbent Position 8 prospect Teresa Mosqueda held a information conference with labor leaders Monday to protest PAC spending by “bosses and landlords.” They and González have cast them selves towards Harrell, metropolis legal professional prospect Ann Davison, Nelson and Posture 8 applicant Kenneth Wilson. Those candidates have famous that their individual campaigns have support from a large assortment of individuals.

González, the council’s recent president, sponsored a legislation previous calendar year that prohibits organizations with overseas buyers, like Amazon, from earning impartial expenses on their personal or by means of PACs.

For substantially of the yr, there was reasonably even PAC spending, with Bruce Harrell for Seattle’s Upcoming paying marginally extra than $1 million for Harrell and against González, and Important Personnel for Lorena shelling out a bit fewer than $1 million for González and versus Harrell.

Quite a few leading donors to Bruce Harrell for Seattle’s Potential have also contributed to Seattle for Frequent Perception or Transform Seattle. Essential Workers for Lorena is funded by unions for lodge, supermarket and overall health treatment workers.

There are other PACs associated, spending fewer. For instance: A PAC involved with the union for Seattle firefighters has described spending extra than $100,000 just lately to guidance Harrell and Nelson, and a PAC partly funded by organizations involved with entrepreneur Nick Hanauer has reported paying out $86,000 for Oliver and versus Nelson.

Seattle candidates themselves have raised much more than $6 million this calendar year — also a report, with extra than $4 million of that collected by the 8 candidates on Tuesday’s general-election ballot.